Tahoe author predicts Bay Area earthquake days in advance
October 31, 2007
A South Lake Tahoe woman who for years has been among a subculture of intuitives who predict and track earthquakes says she foresaw Tuesday night’s 5.6-magnitude San Jose earthquake in September. And what’s more, she documented it just days ago on her Web site.
Cal Orey, a writer of several books, including a biography on Bay Area geologist Jim Berkland, who predicted the Loma Prieta quake in 1989, says she hit the prediction well ahead of time and sees more on the way.
“I believe this was a foreshock. I see a 5.8 to 6.0-plus earthquake that could hit on the Calaveras, Hayward or San Andreas fault by Nov. 30,” Orey said.
This 5.6 quake is a strong but moderate earthquake, the largest one to hit the Bay Area since Loma Prieta in October 1989. Orey says she was tipped off again a few days ago by the Oct. 26 full moon.
“The tides were erratic,” she said. She pinpointed her Oct. 26 prediction at Alum Rock, which was the near-epicenter, east of San Jose.
Also, on Saturday, Orey and her neighbors saw a disoriented bear next door to her house in Bijou Pines.
“In eight years, I’ve never seen a bear this close to town. I said to the crowd of people taking photos of the animal, ‘This could be due to the Angora fire and the bear is hungry, or a quake is coming here or to the Bay Area in a week.'”
Orey made the prediction Oct. 26 on her Web site, http://www.earthquakeepi-center.com.
According to reporting statistics compiled by the U.S. Geological Survey, the quake was felt all the way to South Lake Tahoe, Tahoma and even Minden and Carson City.
“Historically, the Hayward fault has had larger quakes. And scientists are saying that a 6.0-plus could occur on this fault or the Calaveras fault in the future,” Orey says. “I have a wager with geologist Berkland that Northern California will get a 6.0-plus before Southern California. I won the last wager for a 5.0, which hit Northern California first. I may win this one, too.”