Douglas County’s growth rate expected to slow |

Douglas County’s growth rate expected to slow

Kurt Hildebrand / The Record-Courier

Douglas County’s population growth will continue to decelerate over the next 20 years, according to the Nevada State Demographer’s Office.

State Demographer Jeff Hardcastle predicts the county’s population will continue to grow, but at a continually slower rate.

Hardcastle listed the county’s population as 53,307 for 2008 with a projected 2.1 percent growth rate, dropping to 1.2 percent in 2010.

According to Hardcastle’s report, Douglas County’s population will be 64,860 in 2028.

Lyon County’s population is expected to grow far faster with a total population of 105,533 over the same duration. Carson City will grow far more slowly than either neighbor, with an ending population of 62,201. Hardcastle reports that Carson City actually will lose residents until 2010.

Hardcastle’s Douglas County population estimate for 2007 is about 7,000 people off from the U.S. Census Bureau’s.

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The state lists Douglas’ population as 52,386 and shows a slight increase in population. The Census lists the county’s population on July 1, 2007, as 45,406, showing a decrease from the previous year. Carson City’s state and federal estimates are much closer, as are Lyon County’s.

Overall, Hardcastle said change will be uneven around Nevada. Northwestern Nevada (Carson City, Churchill, Douglas, Lyon, Storey, and Washoe counties) is projected to grow by more than 226,000 people. Rural Nevada (Elko, Esmeralda, Eureka, Humboldt, Lander, Lincoln, Mineral, Pershing, and White Pine counties) currently is experiencing mining growth, and that may last through the next 20 years. There are some other projects in the beginning stages that might help some of these counties weather any mining downturn. Southern Nevada (Clark and Nye counties) is projected to grow by more than 1.1 million people.