GOP seeks to avoid shutout in race for California governor
June 5, 2018
SACRAMENTO, Calif. — The intrigue in the race to replace departing California Gov. Jerry Brown isn’t who wins — it’s who comes in second in Tuesday’s primary, one of hundreds of contests across the state that could solidify Democratic dominance here and reshape the fight for control of the U.S. Congress.
Brown, whose four terms spread over more than four decades are the most in state history, hasn’t endorsed a successor but a fellow Democrat, Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom, is the clear front-runner. Because of California’s “jungle primary ,” the top two vote-getters — regardless of party — advance to a runoff in November.
Newsom has said he would prefer to face a Republican and it’s understandable because Democrats dominate in California. Republican registration has fallen for years and the party hasn’t won a statewide contest in more than a decade, when Arnold Schwarzenegger was re-elected governor in 2006.
The election is pivotal for Republicans looking to end their mounting struggles and gain a stronger foothold in the nation’s largest state. For Democrats, who risk getting shut out of key congressional races, it has massive implications for their push to retake control of the U.S. House.
Democrats need to gain 23 districts nationally to flip the majority in the House, and a key part of their strategy is expanding their 39-14 advantage in the home state of Democratic leader Nancy Pelosi. The key battlegrounds are seven districts, mostly in Southern California, where Hillary Clinton defeated then-candidate Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential race, making them targets this year.
Democrats hope to avoid their nightmare scenario — the vote is split among a crowded field of Democrats and two Republicans get the only slots in the November election.
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U.S. Sen. Dianne Feinstein is seeking another six-year term at age 84 and is expected to cruise into November when her likely opponent will be fellow Democrat Kevin de Leon, the former state Senate leader. There are 11 unknown Republicans in the race and none was backed by the party.
Elsewhere, San Francisco will choose a new leader following the sudden death of Mayor Ed Lee and a Northern California judge, Aaron Persky, faces a recall for the light sentence he gave a former Stanford University swimmer who sexually assaulted a drunken woman.
In the race for governor, recent polls showed a surge by Republican businessman John Cox, who was endorsed by President Donald Trump. Meantime, former Democratic Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa, seen as a major threat to Newsom when the campaign started, has tailed off. He campaigned furiously in the final days to try to close the gap.
The other major candidates are state Treasurer John Chiang and former education Superintendent Delaine Eastin, both Democrats, and Republican Assemblyman Travis Allen.
The campaign has played out largely under the radar despite millions of dollars in spending by candidates and their independent supporters. The closing days of the race were marked as much by dueling complaints over that spending as by differences between the candidates, their priorities and their styles of governing.
Cox, a businessman from San Diego has run unsuccessfully for a number of offices in his native Illinois but gained footing among California Republicans as the campaign progressed. He and Allen both aligned themselves with Trump — Allen repeatedly noted Cox voted for Libertarian Gary Johnson in the 2016 presidential election; Cox said he regrets the choice — but the president chose Cox for his endorsement.
Trump is a popular punching bag for Democrats and unpopular with independents but maintains strong support and loyalty from the GOP base.
Cox and Allen have relentlessly attacked California’s “sanctuary state” law that restricts cooperation between local law enforcement and federal immigration authorities. The Democratic candidates all support the law.
Newsom gave Cox a boost with ads attacking him as a supporter of Trump and gun rights, using language likely to bolster Cox’s standing in the eyes of conservatives. The thinking was that if Cox finishes second he presents an easier opponent than a Democrat.
Newsom touted his 2004 decision as mayor of San Francisco to allow same-sex marriages, a controversial move that he said demonstrated his courage to push forward progressive priorities.
Villaraigosa has reached out to lower-income voters left behind by a roaring economy that has especially benefited wealthy coastal areas. Villaraigosa, who had high-profile fights with the Los Angeles teachers union as mayor, was boosted by millions of dollars in spending by charter school advocates.
Chiang, the son of immigrants from Taiwan, would be California’s first Asian governor. He highlighted his financial credentials as state treasurer, controller and Board of Equalization member, and promised to be a drama-free governor — a nod to adultery scandals that rocked Newsom and Villaraigosa while they were mayors.
Eastin, the former state schools chief, sought to draw liberal voters with her calls for single-payer health care and expanded rent control.
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