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Don’t place too much emphasis on forecasts

Sports action in the books of Lake Tahoe gets a little quiet this time of year.

The only serious betting right now is on NFL. College football takes time off

before the bowl games kickoff around the holidays. Professional bettors are in search of the good numbers on those games, but the majority of the action will appear closer to game time. There are some great matchups in store for us in the college bowl this season.



Sports bettors’ anticipation this time of year comes a close second to those awaiting the arrival of the Big Man in the red suit on Christmas Eve. More about my thoughts on the bowl games later.

With winter upon us now, special circumstances arise when it comes to football over/under numbers. Linesmakers and bookmakers both keep an eye on potential bad weather at various stadiums at this time of year. Weather can affect the outcome of a game, but only on rare occasions.




Blizzards and winter conditions do have more of a bearing on whether

a game is high or low scoring. My advice on this matter, though, is not to get

carried away with the weather forecast. A game in a bad weather venue can go “over” very easily, unless the conditions are extremely bad.

High winds and driving rain or snow can keep a score down. Be sure of the conditions if you make a wager based on the weather, and proceed with caution.

The NFL this week has some interesting matchups. the Packer/49er game is definitely high on the list. Both teams have secured playoff berths, but home-field advantage in the playoffs is still up for grabs. This game should be a shootout. Weather permitting, the total of 46 looks low for these teams.

The game should fly “over.”

Another game I like to go “over” is between the Bengals and Jaguars. Take over 43 here. I also think that Cleveland can beat the Colts this week. Take +2 or higher on the Browns.

Marquee matchups this week include the Raiders/Dolphins, Chiefs/Broncos, and Patriots/Titans on Monday night.

No shortage of entertainment for football fans this weekend, and all games on Sunday can be watched live in Nero’s at Caesars Tahoe. Food and drink specials are available.

Returning to the bowl game matchups ahead. Booking bets on all these affairs is a bookmaker’s dream. Anyone who tries to pick a winner in all of

them will find it hard to make money. There are just too many intangibles.

A few teams that look good to me at this early stage are as follows:

Ole Miss +4.5 against Nebraska, Oklahoma St. -6.5 over Southern Miss and Georgia -3 should run all over Florida State.

Then we come to the Fiesta Bowl on Jan. 3. My first article this year posed the question, who can stop Miami from repeating? The answer remains the same: No one.

My next article in three weeks will come out on Jan. 3. The one thing I am sure of is that the current line of -13 on Miami will be higher by then. It should at least be up to -14 by then, if not higher. A little wager on Miami at the current line could be very insurable in three weeks time. We will talk more about that then.

In the meantime, I would like to wish everyone a great holiday season. Enjoy everything about it, including the great sporting events taking place. Should you happen to wager on any of those events, the best of luck to

you!


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